Maritime security, aggregated and verified.

Active war between US/Israeli forces and Iran, disrupting transit since 28 February 2026.

• Recent activity: no confirmed attack in the four days to 10 September, but IRGC UAV overflight, surveillance, and VHF hailing continued
• Mining risk: mariners advised to watch for mining activity in and near the traffic separation scheme
• Traffic: well below the 2025 baseline of roughly 138 vessels a day
• JMIC outlook: deliberate hostile action rated highly likely

Residual kinetic risk tied to ongoing blockade-enforcement activity.

• Recent activity: three incidents in the four days to 10 September, including a tanker disabled near Kharg Island and one struck by an unknown projectile south of Al-Faw, Iraq
• Casualties: one vessel at Port Rashid anchorage found listing after a suspected projectile strike — one confirmed fatality, one crew member still missing
• JMIC outlook: further attack possible but not likely under current conditions

Ongoing US blockade-enforcement activity against Iran-bound shipping.

• Recent activity: four incidents in the four days to 10 September — US forces disabled an LPG tanker and three other tankers; one disabled vessel later sank
• Blockade status: as of 9 September, CENTCOM had redirected 94 commercial vessels, disabled several, and boarded two for compliance checks

Stable at present, but shaped by the wider regional picture.

• Recent activity: no confirmed attacks or disruptions in the four days to 10 September
• Context: naval patrols continue and traffic transits without disruption, though the broader environment remains shaped by the Hormuz war and resurgent Somali piracy nearby

Piracy-related activity and Houthi rhetoric keep this corridor at strong risk.

• Recent activity: one incident — attempted boarding of the cargo ship Glamor, repelled after the crew mustered in the ship's citadel; all crew confirmed safe
• JMIC outlook: strong risk of a security incident in coastal approaches, transit corridors, and small-craft areas

JMIC's own rating predates a major development the next day.

• JMIC rating (10 Sept): Substantial, tied to sustained Houthi attack intent since a 20 July blockade declaration against Saudi Arabia
• Since this report: on 11 September, Houthi forces took control of Yemen's Red Sea coastline, including the port of Mokha and a strategic island at the strait's narrowest point
• Same day: drone strikes forced a shutdown of a major Saudi east-west oil pipeline
• Outlook: treat current risk as likely higher than Substantial pending a fresh JMIC assessment

Five merchant vessels remain hijacked and held as of the reporting date.

• Recent activity: no confirmed attacks in the four days to 10 September
• Vessels held: MT Honour 25 (Palau-flagged, taken 21 Apr), MV Sward (Saint Kitts and Nevis-flagged, taken 26 Apr), MT Eureka (Togo-flagged, taken 2 May), MT Asana (Tanzania-flagged, taken 17 Jul), MT Seamull / Sibu 1 (Eritrea-flagged, taken 20 Aug)
• Outlook: pirate action group activity remains possible; monsoon conditions currently restrict offshore skiff range, but coastal opportunism persists

Canal operations continue normally, with residual electronic interference.

• Recent activity: no confirmed attack or incident in the four days to 10 September
• Status: Suez Canal operations continue with steady tanker flows and selective container-vessel returns
• Hazard: periodic GNSS and electronic interference near Yanbu and the northern approaches

Consistent with the persistent low-risk baseline.

• Recent activity: no confirmed attacks or disruptions in the four days to 10 September
• Hazard: localized GNSS and electronic interference possible near Cyprus and the Levant

Recurring Ukrainian strikes on Russian naval assets and port infrastructure.

• Recent activity: a large combined strike on 8–9 September damaged multiple warships and forced a halt to grain-terminal operations at the port
• Context: strikes on the Novorossiysk naval base and supporting infrastructure have recurred through 2026